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Probability and the Art of Judgment.

Probability and the Art of Judgment.

・ISBN 978-0-521-39770-4 paper GB£ 38.00

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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 9781139172394
著者・編者Jeffrey, Richard,
シリーズ (Cambridge Studies in Probability, Induction and Decision Theory)
出版社 (Cambridge University Press, UK)
出版年月1992
ページ数260 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<A03-32180>

解説

Richard Jeffrey is beyond dispute one of the most distinguished and influential philosophers working in the field of decision theory and the theory of knowledge. His work is distinctive in showing the interplay of epistemological concerns with probability and utility theory. Not only has he made use of standard probabilistic and decision theoretic tools to clarify concepts of evidential support and informed choice, he has also proposed significant modifications of the standard Bayesian position in order that it provide a better fit with actual human experience. Probability logic is viewed not as a source of judgment but as a framework for explaining the implications of probabilistic judgments and their mutual compatability. This collection of essays spans a period of some 35 years and includes what have become some of the classic works in the literature. There is also one completely new piece, while in many instances Jeffrey includes afterthoughts on the older essays.