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The Measurement of Subjective Probability.
・ISBN 978-1-009-48696-5 hard GB£ 55.00
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・ISBN 978-1-009-40132-6 paper GB£ 18.00
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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-1-009-40131-9
| 著者・編者 | Elliott, Edward J. R., |
|---|---|
| シリーズ | Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy |
| 出版社 | (Cambridge U. Pr., UK) |
| 出版年月 | 2024.06 |
| ページ数 | 90 pp. |
| 言語 | ENG |
| ニュース番号 | <720-27> |
解説
Beliefs come in degrees, and we often represent those degrees with numbers. We might say, for example, that we are 90% confident in the truth of some scientific hypothesis, or only 30% confident in the success of some risky endeavour. But what do these numbers mean? What, in other words, is the underlying psychological reality to which the numbers correspond? And what constitutes a meaningful difference between numerically distinct representations of belief? In this Element, we discuss the main approaches to the measurement of belief. These fall into two broad categories-epistemic and decision-theoretic-with divergent foundations in the theory of measurement. Epistemic approaches explain the measurement of belief by appeal to relations between belief states themselves, whereas decision-theoretic approaches appeal to relations between beliefs and desires in the production of choice and preferences.