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North Korea, Nuclear Risk-Taking, and the United States

North Korea, Nuclear Risk-Taking, and the United States : Kim Il Sung, Kim Jong Il, and Kim Jong Un. 北朝鮮、核のリスク負担、米国

・ISBN 978-1-7936-5026-9 2023 hard GB£ 80.00

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・ISBN 978-1-7936-5028-3 2026 paper GB£ 22.99

¥7,283.- (税込) (※)価格はご注文時の参考価格となります。
納品価格につきましては書籍の入荷時点で確定となります。
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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-1-9787-2090-9

著者・編者Hwang, Jihwan,
シリーズLexington Studies on Korea's Place in International Relations
出版社(Lexington Books, US)
出版年月2023.12
ページ数216 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<711-841 711-909>

解説

Jihwan Hwang analyzes Pyongyang's nuclear policy changes over the last three decades under Kim Il Sung, Kim Jong Il and Kim Jong Un. Why did a weaker North Korea take the risk of standing up against the much stronger U.S. with its nuclear weapons program, even escalating the crisis to the point of a war? Later, why did North Korea change its course of action amid the crisis even though the security environment remained essentially the same? Hwang draws on the main tenets of prospect theory in international relations and argues that Pyongyang becomes either risk-acceptant or risk-averse toward the U.S., depending on the situation it faces. When Pyongyang perceived the status quo to be deteriorating, it framed its situation as a loss and chose a risk-acceptant of confrontation to restore the status quo. Equally, when Pyongyang perceived the situation to be improving, it chose a risk-averse engagement in the domain of gain. In contrast, when Pyongyang perceived an extreme loss such as military confrontation against the United States, it would rather choose a risk-averse policy to avoid the catastrophic outcome of war. The issues of risk are central to an understanding of Pyongyang's nuclear policy decision-making.