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Polling at a Crossroads

Polling at a Crossroads : Rethinking Modern Survey Research. 岐路に立つ投票-現代のサーベイ・リサーチを再考する

・ISBN 978-1-108-48279-0 hard GB£ 84.00

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・ISBN 978-1-108-71093-0 paper GB£ 27.00

¥8,553.- (税込) (※)価格はご注文時の参考価格となります。
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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-1-108-69779-8

著者・編者Bailey, Michael A.,
シリーズMethodological Tools in the Social Sciences
出版社(Cambridge U. Pr., UK)
出版年月2024.03
ページ数290 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<711-15 711-788>

解説

Survey research is in a state of crisis. People have become less willing to respond to polls and recent misses in critical elections have undermined the field's credibility. Pollsters have developed many tools for dealing with the new environment, an increasing number of which rely on risky opt-in samples. Virtually all of these tools require that respondents in each demographic category are a representative sample of all people in each demographic category, something that is unlikely to be reliably true. Polling at a Crossroads moves beyond such strong limitations, providing tools that work even when survey respondents are unrepresentative in complex ways. This book provides case studies that show how to avoid underestimating Trump support and how conventional polls exaggerate partisan differences. This book also helps us think in clear and sometimes counterintuitive ways and points toward simple, low-cost changes that can better address contemporary polling challenges.