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Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting.

Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting.

・ISBN 978-1-4987-6262-5 2019 hard GB£ 124.99

¥39,596.- (税込) (※)価格はご注文時の参考価格となります。
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・ISBN 978-0-367-57136-8 2020 paper GB£ 51.99

¥16,470.- (税込) (※)価格はご注文時の参考価格となります。
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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-0-429-45298-7

著者・編者Bryant, John / Zhang, Junni L.,
シリーズChapman & Hall/CRC Statistics in the Social and Behavioral Sciences
出版社(Chapman & Hall / CRC, US)
ページ数292 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<646-L359 646-L487>

解説

Bayesian Demographic Estimation and Forecasting presents three statistical frameworks for modern demographic estimation and forecasting. The frameworks draw on recent advances in statistical methodology to provide new tools for tackling challenges such as disaggregation, measurement error, missing data, and combining multiple data sources. The methods apply to single demographic series, or to entire demographic systems. The methods unify estimation and forecasting, and yield detailed measures of uncertainty.

The book assumes minimal knowledge of statistics, and no previous knowledge of demography. The authors have developed a set of R packages implementing the methods. Data and code for all applications in the book are available on www.bdef-book.com.

"This book will be welcome for the scientific community of forecasters...as it presents a new approach which has already given important results and which, in my opinion, will increase its importance in the future." ~Daniel Courgeau, Institut national d'etudes demographiques