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Dutch Book Arguments. ダッチブック論証
・ISBN 978-1-108-71344-3 paper GB£ 18.00
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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-1-108-58181-3
| 著者・編者 | Pettigrew, Richard, |
|---|---|
| シリーズ | Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy |
| 出版社 | (Cambridge U. Pr., UK) |
| 出版年月 | 2020 |
| ページ数 | 75 pp. |
| 言語 | ENG |
| ニュース番号 | <658-106 658-P384> |
解説
Our beliefs come in degrees. I'm 70% confident it will rain tomorrow, and 0.001% sure my lottery ticket will win. What's more, we think these degrees of belief should abide by certain principles if they are to be rational. For instance, you shouldn't believe that a person's taller than 6ft more strongly than you believe that they're taller than 5ft, since the former entails the latter. In Dutch Book arguments, we try to establish the principles of rationality for degrees of belief by appealing to their role in guiding decisions. In particular, we show that degrees of belief that don't satisfy the principles will always guide action in some way that is bad or undesirable. In this Element, we present Dutch Book arguments for the principles of Probabilism, Conditionalization, and the Reflection Principle, among others, and we formulate and consider the most serious objections to them.