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Asian Development Outlook 2018 : How Technology Affects Jobs. アジアの開発概況 2018年版
・ISBN 978-92-9261-120-0 paper US$ 59.00
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★★★
| 出版社 | (Asian Development Bank, PH) |
|---|---|
| 出版年月 | 2018 |
| ページ数 | 304 pp. |
| 言語 | ENG |
| ニュース番号 | ＜648-467 001-11025＞ |
解説
Developing Asia is forecast to expand by 6.0% in 2018, and by 5.9% in 2019. Excluding Asia's high-income newly industrialized economies, growth should reach 6.5% in 2018 and 6.4% in 2019.
With oil prices edging up and robust consumer demand continuing, inflation is poised to pick up after dipping slightly last year. Consumer prices are projected to rise by 2.9% in both 2018 and 2019, or 0.6 percentage points more than in 2017.
Though prospects are firm, risks are clearly to the downside. Protectionist measures and retaliation against them could undermine the recent pickup in trade growth. In response to fiscal stimulus, the United States Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates faster than currently expected, which could diminish capital flows to developing Asia.
With oil prices edging up and robust consumer demand continuing, inflation is poised to pick up after dipping slightly last year. Consumer prices are projected to rise by 2.9% in both 2018 and 2019, or 0.6 percentage points more than in 2017.
Though prospects are firm, risks are clearly to the downside. Protectionist measures and retaliation against them could undermine the recent pickup in trade growth. In response to fiscal stimulus, the United States Federal Reserve may need to raise interest rates faster than currently expected, which could diminish capital flows to developing Asia.