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Counterfactuals and Probability.

Counterfactuals and Probability.

・ISBN 978-0-19-878595-8 hard GB£ 82.00

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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-0-19-183171-3

著者・編者Schulz, Moritz,
出版社(Oxford U. Pr., UK)
出版年月2017
ページ数256 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<644-L183 644-P411>

解説

Moritz Schulz explores counterfactual thought and language: what would have happened if things had gone a different way. Counterfactual questions may concern large scale derivations (what would have happened if Nixon had launched a nuclear attack) or small scale evaluations of minor derivations (what would have happened if I had decided to join a different profession). A common impression, which receives a thorough defence in the book, is that oftentimes we find it impossible to know what would have happened. However, this does not mean that we are completely at a loss: we are typically capable of evaluating counterfactual questions probabilistically: we can say what would have been likely or unlikely to happen. Schulz describes these probabilistic ways of evaluating counterfactual questions and turns the data into a novel account of the workings of counterfactual thought.