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Over the Horizon: Time, Uncertainty, and the Rise of Great Powers.

Over the Horizon: Time, Uncertainty, and the Rise of Great Powers. 時代、不確実性、大国の台頭

・ISBN 978-1-5017-0756-8 2017 cloth US$ 51.95

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・ISBN 978-1-5017-4845-5 2020 paper US$ 28.95

¥6,782.- (税込) (※)価格はご注文時の参考価格となります。
納品価格につきましては書籍の入荷時点で確定となります。
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電子版あり 大学・学術機関向け電子ブック(eBook)ISBN 978-1-5017-0944-9

著者・編者Edelstein, David M.,
出版社(Cornell U. Pr., US)
ページ数240 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<641-1756 641-P4006>

解説

How do established powers react to growing competitors? The United States currently faces a dilemma with regard to China and others over whether to embrace competition and thus substantial present-day costs or collaborate with its rivals to garner short-term gains while letting them become more powerful. This problem lends considerable urgency to the lessons to be learned from Over the Horizon. David M. Edelstein analyzes past rising powers in his search for answers that point the way forward for the United States as it strives to maintain control over its competitors.

Edelstein focuses on the time horizons of political leaders and the effects of long-term uncertainty on decision-making. He notes how state leaders tend to procrastinate when dealing with long-term threats, hoping instead to profit from short-term cooperation, and are reluctant to act precipitously in an uncertain environment. To test his novel theory, Edelstein uses lessons learned from history's great powers: late nineteenth-century Germany, the United States at the turn of the twentieth century, interwar Germany, and the Soviet Union at the origins of the Cold War. Over the Horizon demonstrates that cooperation between declining and rising powers is more common than we might think, although declining states may later regret having given upstarts time to mature into true threats.