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The Uncertain Transition from Stability to Peace.

The Uncertain Transition from Stability to Peace. 安定から平和への不確実な移行

・ISBN 978-1-4422-4055-1 paper GB£ 35.99

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お気に入り
著者・編者Lamb, Robert D. / Mixon, K. / Minot, S.,
シリーズCSIS Report
出版社(CSIS, US)
出版年月2015
ページ数48 pp.
言語ENG
ニュース番号<625-1878>

解説

Most violent conflicts since the turn of this century were in countries that had experienced an earlier violent conflict. How can we tell when a country is likely to remain stuck in a cycle of violence? What factors suggest it might be "ripe" for stabilizing and peace building? The authors studied four cases: Chad is stuck in a cycle of violence, while El Salvador, Laos, and Mozambique have had different results in their transitions from violence to stability to peace. Conflicts without internal cohesion of combatants or pressure from foreign patrons to stop fighting are probably not ripe for stabilizing. Where there are subnational or regional actors committed to violence, post-conflict peace building is not likely to succeed without enforcement capacity to contain violence or demonstrated commitments to increasing political inclusion and making material improvements in the lives of residents.