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Uncertainties in Environmental Modelling and Consequences for Policy Making : Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Study Institute on Uncertainties in Environmental Modeling and Consequences for Policy Making Vrsar, Croatia, 30 September - 11 October 2007. 環境モデリングにおける不確実性と政策決定の帰結
・ISBN 978-90-481-2634-7 hard EUR 199.99
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・ISBN 978-90-481-2635-4 soft EUR 199.99
￥53,456.- (税込) ※（※）価格はご注文時の参考価格となります。
納品価格につきましては書籍の入荷時点で確定となります。
版元の原価改定、外国為替の変動等により異なる場合がございますので、予めご了承下さい。
| 著者・編者 | Baveye, Philippe C. / Laba, M. / Mysiak, J. (eds.), |
|---|---|
| シリーズ | NATO Science for Peace and Security Series - C: Environmental Security |
| 出版社 | (Springer, GW) |
| 出版年月 | 2009 |
| ページ数 | 410 pp. |
| 言語 | ENG |
| ニュース番号 | ＜565-1336＞ |
解説
Mathematical modelling has become in recent years an essential tool for the prediction of environmental change and for the development of sustainable policies. Yet, many of the uncertainties associated with modelling efforts appear poorly understood by many, especially by policy makers. This book attempts for the first time to cover the full range of issues related to model uncertainties, from the subjectivity of setting up a conceptual model of a given system, all the way to communicating the nature of model uncertainties to non-scientists and accounting for model uncertainties in policy decisions. Theoretical chapters, providing background information on specific steps in the modelling process and in the adoption of models by end-users, are complemented by illustrative case studies dealing with soils and global climate change. All the chapters are authored by recognized experts in their respective disciplines, and provide a timely and uniquely comprehensive coverage of an important field.